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The International Bestseller by 'The Galileo of number crunchers' (Independent)
Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. The rise of 'big data' has the potential to help us predict the future, yet much of it is misleading, useless or distracting.
In The Signal and the Noise, the New York Times political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results of every state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, he takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can all learn to detect the true signals amid a noise of data.
'Remarkable and rewarding' Matthew D'Ancona, Sunday Telegraph
'A lucid explanation of how to think probabilistically' Guardian
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Descripción Condición: New. Nº de ref. del artículo: 18525501-n
Descripción Paperback. Condición: new. Paperback. The acclaimed international bestseller that will change the way you think about the futureEvery time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society.In The Signal and the Noise, the New York Times political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results of every single state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, he takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can use information in a smarter way amid a noise of data - and make better predictions in our own lives. Reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, the author takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can use information in a smarter way amid a noise of data - and make predictions in our lives. Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability. Nº de ref. del artículo: 9780141975658
Descripción paperback. Condición: New. Language: ENG. Nº de ref. del artículo: 9780141975658
Descripción Soft Cover. Condición: new. Nº de ref. del artículo: 9780141975658
Descripción Condición: New. Reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, the author takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can use information in a smarter way amid a noise of data - and make predictions in our lives. Num Pages: 544 pages. BIC Classification: PBT; PDZM. Category: (P) Professional & Vocational; (U) Tertiary Education (US: College). Dimension: 197 x 130 x 29. Weight in Grams: 368. 2013. 01st Edition. Paperback. . . . . Nº de ref. del artículo: 9780141975658
Descripción Condición: New. Reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, the author takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can use information in a smarter way amid a noise of data - and make predictions in our lives. Num Pages: 544 pages. BIC Classification: PBT; PDZM. Category: (P) Professional & Vocational; (U) Tertiary Education (US: College). Dimension: 197 x 130 x 29. Weight in Grams: 368. 2013. 01st Edition. Paperback. . . . . Books ship from the US and Ireland. Nº de ref. del artículo: 9780141975658
Descripción Paperback. Condición: New. BRAND NEW ** SUPER FAST SHIPPING FROM UK WAREHOUSE ** 30 DAY MONEY BACK GUARANTEE. Nº de ref. del artículo: 9780141975658-GDR
Descripción Paperback / softback. Condición: New. New copy - Usually dispatched within 4 working days. Reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, the author takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can use information in a smarter way amid a noise of data - and make predictions in our lives. Nº de ref. del artículo: B9780141975658
Descripción Condición: New. In. Nº de ref. del artículo: ria9780141975658_new
Descripción Paperback. Condición: Brand New. 544 pages. In Stock. Nº de ref. del artículo: __0141975652